Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tsirang · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Tsirang are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tensung are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tsirang hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 22.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the Premier League, while Tsirang holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tsirang
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
73.7%
Tsirang has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20