Truro Cityvs
Exeter City
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Exeter City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Truro City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Exeter City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Truro City hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (75.4 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Exeter City holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Exeter City
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
10.5%
Exeter City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60