GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Exeter City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Truro City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Exeter City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Truro City hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (75.4 v 72.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Exeter City holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Exeter City

Probability

47.1%

Model confidence

10.5%

Exeter City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Truro CityWLLDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Exeter CityLDDDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Truro CityExeter City
100.0Attack77.8
77.8Defence66.7
66.7Form74.1
75.4Power72.9
1.48xG1.95
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