Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Start · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Tromso are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Start are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Start hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 73.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Start holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Start
Probability
62.8%
Model confidence
9.3%
Start has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00