Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Tromso are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Rosenborg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tromso hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the Eliteserien, while Tromso holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40