Tromsovs
Lillestrom
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 4/15/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tromso are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lillestrom are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tromso hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Eliteserien, while Tromso holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60