Tromsovs
Fredrikstad
COMPLETEDNorway · Eliteserien · 3/15/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tromso · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Tromso are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Fredrikstad are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tromso hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.8% in the Eliteserien, while Tromso holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tromso
Probability
75.8%
Model confidence
75.8%
Tromso has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80