Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trnje · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Trnje are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bjelovar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Trnje hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Trnje holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Trnje
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Trnje has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00