GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tristan Suarez are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Nueva Chicago are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (62.1 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tristan SuarezLDWDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Nueva ChicagoWDLWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Tristan SuarezNueva Chicago
36.1Attack27.8
81.9Defence68.1
62.5Form40.3
62.1Power47.2
0.79xG0.32
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