GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tristan Suarez are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Midland are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tristan SuarezLWDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MidlandWLWLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tristan SuarezMidland
33.3Attack36.2
82.6Defence76.8
60.9Form53.6
61.0Power57.5
0.51xG0.43
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