GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tristan Suarez are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Colegiales are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tristan SuarezWLLWD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ColegialesWLWDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Tristan SuarezColegiales
33.3Attack33.3
82.6Defence66.7
60.9Form43.5
61.0Power49.6
0.75xG0.39
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