GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tristan Suarez · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Tristan Suarez are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Club Atlético Güemes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 35.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.5% in the Primera Nacional, while Tristan Suarez holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tristan Suarez

Probability

61.5%

Model confidence

61.5%

Tristan Suarez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tristan SuarezWDDLD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Club Atlético GüemesWLLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tristan SuarezClub Atlético Güemes
33.3Attack29.0
82.6Defence39.1
60.9Form27.5
61.0Power35.3
1.43xG0.33
View match centre →