GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tristan Suarez are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Atletico DE Rafaela are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 11% BTTS chance and 5% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

57.4%

Model confidence

57.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tristan SuarezLWWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico DE RafaelaLDLWW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tristan SuarezAtletico DE Rafaela
33.3Attack24.0
82.6Defence74.7
60.9Form46.7
61.0Power50.9
0.57xG0.28
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