GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/16/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Tristan Suarez are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Almirante Brown are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 11% BTTS chance and 4% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

54.3%

Model confidence

46.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Tristan SuarezWWWWL

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Almirante BrownWWDDD

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Tristan SuarezAlmirante Brown
31.8Attack26.4
81.8Defence81.9
59.1Form52.8
59.7Power56.1
0.46xG0.32
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