Tristan Suarezvs
Almagro
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 6/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Tristan Suarez are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Almagro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
46.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00