Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crixás EC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Trindade are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Crixás EC are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DDLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Crixás EC hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (23.6 v 30.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the Goiano - 2, while Crixás EC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Crixás EC
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
14.0%
Crixás EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25