Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brežice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Triglav are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Brežice are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Brežice hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (9.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Brežice holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brežice
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Brežice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80