TrezevsJacuipense

Treze are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Jacuipense are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Treze hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.7% in the Serie D, while Treze holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.