Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Treze are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CRAC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Treze hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (57.6 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
45.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80