GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 6/23/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Penybont · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Trethomas Bluebirds are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Penybont are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Penybont hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Penybont holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Penybont

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Penybont has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Trethomas BluebirdsDDDWL

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PenybontWDLLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Trethomas BluebirdsPenybont
33.3Attack100.0
33.3Defence0.0
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power45.0
1.87xG2.00
View match centre →