Trethomas Bluebirdsvs
Caerau (Ely)
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trethomas Bluebirds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Trethomas Bluebirds are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Caerau (Ely) are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Trethomas Bluebirds hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the FAW Championship, while Trethomas Bluebirds holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Trethomas Bluebirds
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
10.4%
Trethomas Bluebirds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60