GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 7/31/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trethomas Bluebirds · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Trethomas Bluebirds are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Baglan Dragons are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Trethomas Bluebirds hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 26.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the FAW Championship, while Trethomas Bluebirds holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trethomas Bluebirds

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Trethomas Bluebirds has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Trethomas BluebirdsLLDDD

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Baglan DragonsDLLDL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Trethomas BluebirdsBaglan Dragons
16.7Attack0.0
83.3Defence50.0
33.3Form16.7
48.3Power26.2
1.78xG1.24
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