Treowen Starsvs
Pontypridd Town
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 8/1/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pontypridd Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Treowen Stars are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Pontypridd Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pontypridd Town hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the FAW Championship, while Pontypridd Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pontypridd Town
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Pontypridd Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80