GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/1/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pontypridd Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Treowen Stars are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Pontypridd Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pontypridd Town hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the FAW Championship, while Pontypridd Town holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pontypridd Town

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Pontypridd Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Treowen StarsWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pontypridd TownDDWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Treowen StarsPontypridd Town
66.7Attack100.0
33.3Defence33.3
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power83.3
1.87xG2.09
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