Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sassuolo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Trento are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sassuolo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sassuolo hold a 43.3-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Sassuolo holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sassuolo
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
Sassuolo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40