Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Trento are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Parma are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Parma hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Parma holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Parma
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Parma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20