GGOALVIO

Italy · Coppa Italia Serie C · 8/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trento · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Trento are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ospitaletto are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ospitaletto hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Coppa Italia Serie C, while Trento holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trento

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

14.5%

Trento has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TrentoLWDLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
OspitalettoDWLLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TrentoOspitaletto
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
45.3Power53.0
1.23xG1.11
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