Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Trem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Trem are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Oratório are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Trem hold a 33.1-point power-rating edge (54.7 v 21.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Serie D, while Trem holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Trem
Probability
74.2%
Model confidence
9.2%
Trem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20