Treaty Unitedvs
Wexford
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 5/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Treaty United are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Wexford are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wexford hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the First Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40