GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 7/31/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Longford Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Treaty United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Longford Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Longford Town hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the First Division, while Longford Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Longford Town

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Longford Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Treaty UnitedWLWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Longford TownLWWWL

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Treaty UnitedLongford Town
32.1Attack43.2
51.9Defence58.0
35.8Form45.7
42.1Power50.4
0.85xG1.17
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