GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 7/3/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Treaty United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kerry are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kerry

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Treaty UnitedDLDLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
KerryWWWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Treaty UnitedKerry
32.1Attack42.0
51.9Defence59.3
35.8Form43.2
42.1Power49.8
0.82xG1.13
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