GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 3/6/2026, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Treaty United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kerry are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kerry

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Treaty UnitedLLLLW

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KerryDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Treaty UnitedKerry
32.1Attack42.0
51.9Defence59.3
35.8Form43.2
42.1Power49.8
0.82xG1.13
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