Treaty Unitedvs
Kerry
COMPLETEDIreland · First Division · 3/6/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kerry · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Treaty United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kerry are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kerry hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the First Division, while Kerry holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kerry
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Kerry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20