GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 5/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Treaty United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Treaty United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Finn Harps are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Treaty United hold a 9.8-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the First Division, while Treaty United holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Treaty United

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Treaty United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Treaty UnitedDWDLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Finn HarpsWWLLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Treaty UnitedFinn Harps
32.1Attack25.9
51.9Defence34.6
35.8Form27.2
42.1Power32.3
1.39xG0.68
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