GGOALVIO

Ireland · First Division · 7/24/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Treaty United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Athlone Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Athlone Town hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 45.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the First Division, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Treaty UnitedLWWDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Athlone TownWWLDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Treaty UnitedAthlone Town
32.1Attack32.1
51.9Defence59.3
35.8Form38.3
42.1Power45.4
0.83xG0.85
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