Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tre Fiori · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tre Fiori are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Forli are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Forli hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 39.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tre Fiori holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tre Fiori
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Tre Fiori has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20