Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Drita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Tre Fiori are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Drita are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Drita hold a 71.1-point power-rating edge (12.2 v 83.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Drita holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Drita
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Drita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40