GGOALVIO

Lithuania · A Lyga · 6/20/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

TransINVEST Vilnius are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kauno Žalgiris are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kauno Žalgiris hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the A Lyga, while Kauno Žalgiris holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kauno Žalgiris

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TransINVEST VilniusWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kauno ŽalgirisLDLLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TransINVEST VilniusKauno Žalgiris
53.3Attack66.7
58.7Defence76.8
54.7Form62.3
56.2Power66.9
0.83xG1.55
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