GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 4/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Žalgiris II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Transinvest 2 are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWLD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Žalgiris II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Žalgiris II hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (32.1 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the 1 Lyga, while Žalgiris II holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Žalgiris II

Probability

64.1%

Model confidence

64.1%

Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Transinvest 2WWLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Žalgiris IIWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Transinvest 2Žalgiris II
33.3Attack51.7
23.3Defence53.3
30.0Form51.7
32.1Power53.2
0.95xG2.32
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