GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vaprus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Trans Narva are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vaprus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vaprus hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the Meistriliiga, while Vaprus holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vaprus

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Vaprus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Trans NarvaLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
VaprusWLWLD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Trans NarvaVaprus
25.8Attack46.0
24.2Defence38.1
24.2Form42.9
27.5Power43.7
1.03xG2.01
View match centre →