GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 3/21/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vaprus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Trans Narva are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vaprus are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Vaprus hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (27.5 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the Meistriliiga, while Vaprus holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vaprus

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Vaprus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Trans NarvaLWLDD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
VaprusLWWLW

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Trans NarvaVaprus
25.8Attack46.0
24.2Defence38.1
24.2Form42.9
27.5Power43.7
1.03xG2.01
View match centre →