GGOALVIO

Estonia · Cup · 8/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trans Narva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Trans Narva are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Kompanii Marjamaa are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Trans Narva hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (76.7 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.0% in the Cup, while Trans Narva holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trans Narva

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

7.0%

Trans Narva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Trans NarvaLWDWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Kompanii MarjamaaWLWLW

GF 18 · GA 12 · avg 3.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Trans NarvaKompanii Marjamaa
100.0Attack100.0
100.0Defence0.0
66.7Form100.0
76.7Power72.0
2.82xG1.99
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