GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tranmere · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Tranmere are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shrewsbury are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tranmere hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (47.6 v 41.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the League Two, while Tranmere holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tranmere

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

13.1%

Tranmere has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TranmereDDLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ShrewsburyDLDDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TranmereShrewsbury
48.6Attack30.4
49.3Defence50.0
41.3Form35.5
47.6Power41.1
1.59xG0.83
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