Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tranmere · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tranmere are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rochdale are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tranmere hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the League Cup, while Tranmere holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tranmere
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Tranmere has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40