Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chorley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Trafford are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Chorley are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chorley hold a 48.4-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 63.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chorley holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chorley
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Chorley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40