Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rops · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
TPV are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rops are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Rops hold a 22.3-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.6% in the Ykkönen, while Rops holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rops
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
64.6%
Rops has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20