TPVvs
KuPS Akatemia
COMPLETEDFinland · Ykkönen · 7/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TPV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
TPV are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while KuPS Akatemia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and TPV hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Ykkönen, while TPV holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
TPV
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
TPV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 15 · GA 14 · avg 3.00/2.80