Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
JJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
TPV are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while JJK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and JJK hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Ykkönen, while JJK holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
JJK
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
JJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 18 · GA 8 · avg 3.60/1.60