GGOALVIO

Finland · Ykkönen · 6/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

TPV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

TPV are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Inter Turku II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and TPV hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 37.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Ykkönen, while TPV holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

TPV

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

7.6%

TPV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TPVLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Inter Turku IILWWLL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TPVInter Turku II
49.1Attack52.6
35.1Defence21.1
35.1Form35.1
41.3Power37.4
2.57xG1.90
View match centre →