Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC jazz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
TPV are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while FC jazz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC jazz hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (41.3 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Ykkönen, while FC jazz holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC jazz
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
FC jazz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00