Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TPV II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
TPV II are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while P-Iirot are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and P-Iirot hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Suomen Cup, while TPV II holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
TPV II
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
TPV II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40