Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toulouse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toulouse are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rodez are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toulouse hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Toulouse holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toulouse
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Toulouse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40