ToulousevsReal Sociedad

Toulouse are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Real Sociedad are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Toulouse hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 43.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Toulouse holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.